Monday, June 27, 2016

The PP wins in all regions except Catalonia and the Basque Country where it does Unidos Podemos – Whack

The PP is the party that manages to win more seats, going from 123 to 137 deputies, with 100% of the vote counted. The PSOE down to 85 seats, while we and confluences fail the ‘Sorpasso’ and remain at 71 members. C’s deflates and drops to 32 minutes. A pact with citizens PP, PNV and Canary Coalition achieved 175 deputies, one of the absolute majority.

The resistance of Mariano Rajoy has shown once again the successful strategy. The PP is the fastest growing in the general elections held on Sunday, going from 123 to 137 seats and overcome the barrier of 33% of voter support, according to data with 100% of votes counted match. The advantage over the second force, which six months ago was 33 deputies, has now grown to 52.

A pact PP with Citizens, PNV and Canary Coalition achieved 175 deputies, one of the most absolute.

the PSOE won the polls, but for the third time got its worst result in a general. Despite losing five seats, it has succeeded in beating the bad omens of most polls, which predicted the Sorpasso United We Can. It has not been produced or votes or deputies. Pedro Sanchez down to 85 seats in Congress, but improves its percentage of voting more than half a point (22.0 to 22.6%). PSOE leader took the opportunity to claim that his party is “hegemonic” in the left

Therefore, after the bump suffered in the elections six months ago, bipartisanship recovers bellows. Then added 50 , 7% of the ballots, now up five points to 55.7%.

the new parties are among the losers on election night. The coalition Izquierda Unida and we obtained identical number of seats in the 20-D: 71. But even manages to overcome the PSOE in votes, which itself had happened six months ago if the ballots achieved by both forces were added separately. And polls had fired expectations in the formation of Pablo Iglesias that have not been fulfilled in the polls. In a first assessment, Iñigo Errejón admitted disappointment: “They are not good results are not what we expected at We Can”. Churches reacted in the same line, saying they had “different expectations”.

One of the big losers of the night was Albert Rivera. Citizens goes from 40 to 32 seats, a major setback in representation in Congress, although in percentage of electoral support has just lost a point (from 13.9 to 13.0%). Data which served to blame the electoral law and announce that fight to change it.

The losses and gains vote of the four major parties also show that Rajoy was the big winner of the 26-J, and their training is the only one that added more votes now than six months ago. The PP garnered almost 670,000 votes more (up from 7.23 to 7.90 million); the PSOE lost 120,000 ballots (down from 5.54 to 5,420,000); States can be left by the way of a million support (down from 6.13 to 5,040,000), and backed Citizens in 390,000 votes (down from 3.51 to 3,120,000).

it remains to scrutinize the vote of immigrants, who on Wednesday will. Although a dozen constituencies the last seat was decided by less than 3,000 votes, it seems unlikely that there are changes in the distribution of deputies.

In the Senate, the PP also won emphatically, to obtain 130 of the 208 seats were elected Sunday. Six months ago, had obtained 124. The Conservatives have a comfortable majority in the Upper House.

Right skims the absolute majority

The formation of government will not be a simple task, although it seems more likely that after the 20-D. The sum of PP and Citizens reaches 169 seats while the PSOE and States can remain at 156 deputies. Rajoy’s party would reach 175 support for a hypothetical investiture If I could supported by the five members of PNV and the Canarian Coalition parliamentary unique. Only one short of an absolute majority.

The logic would say that Mariano Rajoy should be the first to seek investiture, but he announced during the campaign that will not be presented if it has enough support to get elected president. In his first words after the victory, he claimed his right to rule and said that from Monday talk “with everyone” to find a sufficient majority that allows it.

The Socialists are, again, at a difficult crossroads: the left bloc has five seats less than the 20-D (156 now, 161 then) and the PP has extended its lead over second game to 52 deputies. So a progressive government seems discarded. But on the other hand, the PSOE leaders have said that under no circumstances allow Mariano Rajoy is president with abstention.

Some of the forces will have to change his mind, if the parties want to avoid the third consecutive elections in a year. Something that all leaders ruled in campaign.

The territorial map returns to blue

The PP won votes in 15 regions, all but Catalonia and the Basque Country, where we beat States. This means that Rajoy snatches the Socialists the two fiefs only ones who had kept the 20-D. Andalusia and Extremadura

In six communities, the party of Rajoy also managed to exceed 40% of the ballots: in Murcia (46.7%), where once again achieved the best result of all Spain- Castilla y Leon (44.3%), Castilla-La Mancha (42.7%), La Rioja (42.6% ), Cantabria (41.5%) and Galicia (41.4%).

also strong were the triumphs in Madrid, where the PP improved by almost five percentage from 20-D to stand at 38 , 2%, and in Valencia, which was first fueza with a lead of ten points on can-Compromís-EUPV.

However, the two most symbolic victories for conservatives are Andalusia and Estremadura. In the first, Susana Diaz loses for the first time an election: the PP gets 33.5% of the vote, compared to 31.2% for the Socialists. It is true that the lists of the PSOE practically maintain the support percentage (six months achieved 31.5%), but the sharp rise of conservative leaves them in second place.

Everything indicates that Susana Diaz will again postpone their aspirations to the General Secretariat of the PSOE. However, in its first assessment of the results, the Andalusian president stressed that the only three provinces in Spain where the Socialists won were Sevilla, Huelva and Jaen. The PP won 40 constituencies, we in five (the three Basque, Catalonia and Tarragona) and ERC in two (Lleida and Girona).

The nationalists maintain

the Congress is completed with five other nationalist forces, which 25 seats are allocated, one less than the 20-D.

In Catalonia, ERC was confirmed as the first nationalist force, place and it had taken 20-D Convergencia Democratica (which is then presented under the banner of democracy i Llibertad). ERC won tonight nine seats, the same as six months ago, while CDC won eight, also the same result. Of course, the number of votes the difference widens in favor of Republicans: now ERC leads by more than 147,000 to converging, while in the previous elections the difference had not reached the 35,000 ballots

in the Basque nationalism also it confirmed the change in the internal distribution of power that occurred on 20-D: the PNV has again clearly be ahead of EH Bildu, winning by 5 to 2. yes, the party lehendakari Iñigo Urkullu is the only nationalist who loses a deputy in relation to the general above.

Finally, Canary Coalition holds the seat he had in the House.

they stay out Congress, like the 20-D, the Galician Nationalist Bloc and Geroa Bai.

the training has obtained more votes without achieving representation is Pacma, which added more than 284,000 ballots. This is a significant rise compared to six months ago when he won 220,000 votes.

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