They were on the verge of revolutionizing the political chessboard snatching the PSOE the hegemony of the Spanish left, but a fiasco when they can not find her explanation took: “Nobody knows why the result was not the one who predicted the polls,” say Monday from Podemos, the party of Pablo Iglesias. Thanks to the Spanish, however, electoral system were made with 71 deputies, as much as we can and IU won in the elections of December 20, 68 and 2, respectively.
However, expectations of making history with a “sorpasso” the PSOE in votes and seats, which had generated all the polls, including exit polls broadcast immediately after the vote, were scattered on the floor.
the union did not force, was not the turning factor of elections or maybe yes it was, but not in the sense that the architects of the alliance expected. The strategy, therefore, was questioned.
“The results are not satisfactory, they were not what we expected”, recognized Churches in its first assessment of the electoral failure.
The maximum architect of the coalition, which had refused to negotiate with IU before the elections of 20-D, also defended his strategy but he was concerned about the loss of support of “progressive bloc” and he said that “it is time to reflect.”
The dome we met Monday to assess the bump suffered, but Iglesias never again appear before the media, he did Pablo Echenique, Secretary of Organization, who said that “self-criticism” was made, though there were different opinions, because “one thing and its opposite,” he told himself, as revealed.
For that reason, he said they have decided to make a rigorous analysis of the results with data “scientific”.Alberto Garzón, IU leader also defended the pact and said we separate the results “would have been worse.” But whether the alliance prevented a more drastic fall is impossible to prove.
Right now, in the big picture the left coalition appears as the big loser, although the Socialists did not have much to celebrate, as their leader, Pedro Sanchez, he resisted but lost 5 seats and the possibility of a progressive government is further away.
The Popular Party (PP) and its leader, Mariano Rajoy, were the ones who were reinforced by adding 14 seats to reach 137, while Citizens recoiled in votes and seats – 8- lost. Rajoy is now better able to forge a pact but nobody wants to support.
“We are not responsible for having increased the strength of the Popular Party,” said Echenique, who did not want to explain the reasons for the failure of United We Can but ended up pointing to the strategy of the socialist campaign. “Attacks PSOE fattened we may have it right,” launched.
However, the question that should be of interest to the address we is not so much why the PP was reinforced but the mistakes that led to your bet has not turned out as expected.
“they have more than a million votes less than the sum separately disconcerts us enough. what is clear is that the coalition has not worked, and among the reasons is that there was a flow of votes to abstain and a return flow to the PSOE “said Paul Simon, Doctor of Political Science at the University Pompeu Fabra, told Telam.
However, Simon said it was too early to know why there was this exodus of voters. In fact, believes that Brexit, a factor not taken into account the polls, not explain the situation can but reinforces the hypothesis that “when an external shock the ruling party normally benefit occurs, which could He has helped the PP “.
Instead, Josep Ramoneda, philosopher and political analyst, said that what happened is as simple as that “Spain is afraid of change,” except in Catalonia where more and is differentiating a little political map . “There’s alliance left in Comú Podem revalidated its victory and the number of seats.
” I think we have made several mistakes, and one of them was to leave very quickly its initial, more cross speech. By making the campaign in a tone of moderation, which transmitted Iglesias it is that he is afraid and fear spreads “reflected Ramoneda in dialogue with Telam.
The political scientist Joan Subirats said to believe that chaos and the fear generated by the Brexit was an inhibitor of change used by the PP, but also we made a mistake and did both in the generation of expectations and how “characterized the campaign.”
” what predominates is the feeling that they have not met the targets, but what we wanted, ie, beat the PSOE and be able to build an alternative to PP, was very ambitious, “he said.
“they have not gotten theirs were mobilized and have a level of pressure that got so high that opposites mobilized. And they have done with a party structure that in some places is not very powerful, “he said Subirats, Professor of Political Science at the Autonomous University of Barcelona.
So, the leftist coalition maintained the results Catalonia and Valencia, which has alliances more you consolidate, and not grow where they could have done
in addition, “they made the mistake of saying. we are the new socialist party, the new social democracy, which we can ensure change of government. Since the seek identification with the former PSOE voters wanted to occupy a space that was already occupied, “said Subirats.
” We changed a lot to approach the center-left voters. At first spoke of above and below, but then went to the traditional right and left axis, and lost those voters attracted by a speech that was more innovative, “said the expert.
That it is the internal debate that keep Inigo Errejón, number two can, and churches, and will surely be revived from this failure, as the former was little in favor of a pact with IU.
No comments:
Post a Comment