Reuters – 1:19 – 06/26/2016
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After the failure of negotiations last March, the Spaniards returned to elect deputies.
the Unidos Podemos coalition could get a big win in Spain and consecrated as hegemonic force on the left of country in general elections on Sunday, triggering a new shock for European traditional parties after Britain voted to leave the European Union.
the Spanish political parties failed to form a government after the elections in December, which ended 40 years of alternation in power of the Popular Party (PP) and the Socialist Party (PSOE) with stable majorities, with the emergence of new formations that channeled the anti-sentiment following the economic crisis and corruption scandals.
the polls predict that Congress will emerge from this new election will be as fragmented as the previous one, with four major forces and six small parties represented in a chamber of 350 deputies. None of them will be close to a majority to govern alone.
The polls still predicting that the Popular Party will be the most voted on Sunday with around 120 deputies, while the liberal Citizens, the other force pop, get about 40 seats. The sum of both would leave far from an absolute majority of 176 seats.
However, the joining of forces of the two parties located further to the left on the political spectrum Delivering Podemos, which consists of anti-austerity party Podemos and the United Left could, in theory, unlock the situation.
it is expected that States can get about 90 seats, which added to the nearly 80 that could achieve the PSOE, would place it close of an absolute majority and may even form a minority government.
However, many analysts believe that the socialists could opt to form a “grand coalition” with the Popular Party or allow rule the PP in the minority.
the situation is reminiscent Greece, where a historic center-left party, PASOK, joined a coalition government headed by a training center-right in 2012, only to be washed away in the next election by the rise of the leftist party Syriza, near Podemos.
After the referendum in the UK on Thursday, Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras, and the leader of Podemos, Pablo Iglesias, urged to carry out refounding of the European Union, based on an improved democracy with social protection and solidarity.
“It seems to us bad news (for Europe). I think touches refound the EU and return to the social values that made Europe an attractive space for European peoples: the defense of social, human rights and civilians, “Iglesias told reporters on Friday before closing his campaign.
it is unclear what impact might the outcome of the British referendum on the Spanish elections. Some analysts say that the Spaniards might opt for “safe choice” and turn to the traditionally dominant, PP and PSOE parties, while others say it may assume a boost for United we can.
there is also uncertainty about participation, with the repetition of the elections after six months of bickering between the parties and the doors of the summer holidays in the northern hemisphere.
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