Saturday, June 25, 2016

Spain holds elections in uncertainty following the Brexit | Peru Trade – Trade

More than 36 million Spaniards are called Sunday to the polls to elect representatives of Congress and the Senate, an electoral appointment that is repeated six months after the last elections and is marked by uncertainty after the Brexit.

with a large number of undecided and lack of parliamentary majorities, these elections could mean a major triumph for the Unidos Podemos coalition that would enshrine as a hegemonic force left in Spain

►España. the 4 protagonists of the elections this Sunday

the economic crisis and corruption were two the vertebral axes of this campaign, which has slipped in recent days Brexit and filtration of a recording to the Spanish Minister of Interior, Jorge Fernandez Diaz, which calls for a high Catalan leader to investigate Catalan politicians for desprestigiarles.

on Saturday is a day of reflection in Spain because it is no longer permitted the campaign. In this context, the leader of the Popular Party (PP, center-right) and president of the Spanish caretaker government, Mariano Rajoy, spent the day with his family at the official residence of the chief executive, La Moncloa, from which follows international reactions to Brexit.

Meanwhile, the candidate of the Socialist party of Spain (PSOE), Pedro Sanchez, organized a meal with family and friends in Madrid, after closing on Friday the campaign in Sevilla.

the candidate Citizens liberal, Albert Rivera, walked through a downtown park in Madrid, where he held a meeting with leaders of his training, which in previous elections made the jump to national politics as fourth place in Congress with 40 seats.

for a more relaxed atmosphere, the candidate of United we can, Pablo Iglesias met with members and supporters of the coalition of leftist parties to play some football and basketball.

Speaking to reporters before “take a pachanga with friends” (party), Iglesias was convinced reach an agreement with the socialists and ensured that looks like “protagonist of change” in Spain.

Despite these statements, the candidates come to this electoral repetition, convened in the absence of agreement after the elections last December 20 (20D) without detailing their options covenant.

– No majority –

in parallel, polls paint a scenario with a high percentage of undecided (30% according to the official Center for Sociological Research) and predict that Congress will emerge from this new election will be as fragmented as before.

in that case, would be four major forces and six small parties represented in a chamber of 350 deputies. None of them will be close to a majority to govern alone.

►¿Les more Spaniards should not have government?

The polls still forecasting that the PP will be the most voted on Sunday with around 120 deputies, while the liberal Citizens, the other emerging force, would get about 40 seats. The sum of both would leave far from an absolute majority of 176 seats.

However, the joining of forces of the two parties located further to the left on the political spectrum Unidos Podemos, which is formed by the party are anti-austerity Podemos and the United Left, could unblock the situation.

it is expected that States can get about 90 seats, which added to the nearly 80 that could achieve the PSOE, would place it near an absolute majority and could even form a minority government.

However, many analysts believe that the socialists could opt to form a “grand coalition” with the Popular Party or allow rule the PP in minority

-. Impact Brexit –

the situation is reminiscent Greece, where a historic center-left party, PASOK, he joined a coalition government headed by a training center-right in 2012, only to be washed away in the next elections for promotion the power of the leftist party Syriza, near Podemos.

Following the referendum in the UK on Thursday, Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras, and the leader of Podemos, Pablo Iglesias, urged to carry out a refounding of the European Union, based on an improved democracy with social protection and solidarity

►Hollande. “the Brexit is a question for everyone”

It is unclear what impact might the outcome of the British referendum on the Spanish elections. Some analysts say the Spaniards could opt for the “safe option” and turn to the traditionally dominant parties, PP and PSOE, while others say it may assume a boost for United We Can.

There is also uncertainty about the participation, to the repetition of the elections after six months of bickering between the parties and the doors of the summer holidays in the northern hemisphere.

the 210,000 Spanish polls open at 0900 (0200 in Peru) to 20.00 (13.00 in Peru), while the Spanish government plans to have the final result of 22.30 (17.30 in Peru), which is unclear is when the identity of the next government will be known.

►Brexit UK leaves the European Union

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Source: EFE / Reuters

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