It will be the first electoral test a key for the political future of Spain, where the neoliberal anti can aspire to emulate the success in Greece Syriza, the left force Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras year than in the last elections January beat . to traditional groupings of left and right of that country
On May 24 municipal elections were held and in most of the autonomous regions of Spain; in September there will be elections plebiscitary character in Catalonia, and year-end have the general, who will decide who the next president of the Spanish government instead.
The election of Andalucia Southern function as laboratory tests, the results will check the drive for new parties that emerged and grew in the warmth of social discontent over the economic crisis and neoliberal policies that keep Spain with an unemployment rate of over 23%.
At the electoral battle recently joined the center-right party Citizens Catalan Albert Rivera, which opens in Andalusia and thrives in national surveys attracting the votes of discontented with the right-wing Popular Party (PP) government of President Spanish, Mariano Rajoy.
Some 6.5 million Andalusians are called to vote on this iconic region of the south, ruled by the Socialist Party (PSOE) for 33 years and where the crisis raged, raising unemployment to 34%, the highest in the country.
For the PSOE these elections are crucial because they meet for the first time the upward we precisely in a territory whose vote has been historically essential for socialists to arrive La Moncloa.
“On March 22 we will open a safe time change throughout Spain. The socialist victory in Andalucia is the victory of the whole Spanish socialism” proclaimed Pedro Sanchez at the close of the campaign of candidate PSOE for the presidency of Andalusia, Susana Diaz, whom polls show as the winner in the elections.
Diaz ahead of elections in a strategy which its adversaries claim that it is designed to mitigate the effect can in polls and serve though she denies and is now less likely springboard to become the Socialist candidate for Chief Minister of Spain.
The Andalusian president came to office in September 2013 without going through the polls, after succeeding José Antonio Grin, who was right and who had been rocked by a corruption scandal for which he was recently accused.
But in late January decided unilaterally break the government coalition with the United Left (IU) which he had inherited, arguing that its members had been radicalized to converge with We, the party that did not stop growing in the polls.
In fact, Diaz It is the only socialist leader who resisted in the European elections and extended their lead with PP.
According to the latest survey by the Centre for Sociological Research (CIS), Diaz would win the election with 34.7% of the vote, would get 44 seats and stay at 11 absolute majority, which would force it to agree with another party to govern or should do in the minority. Their results would be the worst of the PSOE since 1982.
The PP, which leads to an unknown Juan Manuel Moreno as a candidate and was first force in previous elections-but could not govern thanks to an agreement between PSOE and the IU, obtained 25.7% of the vote, and recede from 50-34 seats.
Meanwhile, we, with his young candidate Teresa Rodríguez occupy third place with 19, 2% of the vote and between 21 and 22 deputies. So the big aggrieved is IU, which would fall to 6.6% of the vote and would go from 12-4 or 5 seats, while Citizens get almost the same percentage, 6.4% and 5 members.
The surveys encrypting undecided on a third of the electorate, indicate that the Andalusian Parliament would highly fragmented.
For socialists, a victory in Andalucia would get oxygen to addressing municipal May and also allow them to show they can still fight for the government of Spain.
In the case of PP, the result will have less significance since this region remains elusive for decades.
And can, they had little time to deploy its structure in Andalusia due to early elections, will have the opportunity to verify at the polls if, as its leader Pablo Iglesias says, can defeat the enemies of change and surveys.
“We took a year listening to the party of no, the party can not. We tell them that we can do,” promised by Teresa Rodríguez Iglesias in closing can campaign, which filled the velodrome Dos Hermanas de Sevilla, icon of the Socialists, who there encumbraron José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero when he unseated the PP of La Moncloa.
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