The PP, the threat of its demise: the fights and competition … – lanacion.com (Argentina)

MADRID As we emphasized its collapse in the polls, the Popular Party (PP) clarified that there was a “hidden voter” already emerge. That no one else in Spanish politics from the center to the right. The “anger” of his electorate was a passenger. But the calm begins to give way to panic

The decisive electoral season is about to open is the party of President Mariano Rajoy to the threat of decline. Complicated by shadows of corruption that do not dissipate, wrapped in debilitating infighting and, above all, pursued by a new liberal group, Citizens for meteoric rise.

The biggest warning light lit this week. Two surveys revealed that the PP can still below the anti ahead of the presidential elections later this year and already almost reached Citizen in voting intentions.

To Metroscopia, published in El País, the PP third with 18.6% and 18.4% Citizens sum. We can lead the race with 22.5% and the Spanish Socialist Workers Party (PSOE) follows with 20.2%. The consultant My Word places the popular second with 22%, and Citizens, with 18.8%.

The rise of Pablo Iglesias and can not flinch too Rajoy. I always saw as a force that ate ground left the PSOE and that he could be useful to bind to voters fearful of radical change. However, the emergence of Catalan Albert Rivera, leader of Citizens, challenge the monopoly of center exerted by the PP since the 80s.

“We are in a unique situation in Spain with almost quadruple tie. But may be that the growth of Citizens and can be maintained and we are replacing a bipartisan way on the other, “says Belén Barreiro, director of My Word.

Opinion surveys show that the PP will pass bills corruption scandals and adjustment policies with which attacked the economic crisis that Spain still struggles to leave behind, despite the encouraging figures displaying the government.

Rajoy survived in 2013 to confessions of Luis Barcenas, a former party treasurer, on the illegal financing and payment of bonuses to the dome. But research related to black money PP progress on justice and are an insistent drip in the press.

The constitutional Javier Pérez Royo considers how Rajoy Barcenas settled the case endangered the survival same party: “The right seems doomed to have to reinvent themselves to compete, because with the initials PP will not be able to continue performing in society.” Compare this crisis that swept the 80 with the Union of the Democratic Centre (UCD), the formation of Adolfo Suárez.

Rajoy controls the game and managed to sustain seamless absolute majority he won in 2011. Yet in recent days increased tone dissent.

The loudest happened in Madrid, the main stronghold of the PP. There a battle for nominations for the regional elections in May in which fell the president of the Community, Ignacio Gonzalez, domestic rival Rajoy was given. It was off the list by filtering it had conspired to conceal the ownership of a luxury penthouse on the Costa del Sol. In the details reported in the press, the traces of Moncloa is sensed.

Instead Rajoy had to appeal to its most conspicuous enemy in the PP, Esperanza Aguirre, as a candidate for mayor of the capital. Is who, according to surveys, can resist Citizens can now. Aguirre unleashed an earthquake to report that, in exchange for the nomination, wanted to force her to hand over control of the regional branch of the party. Rajoy called for a truce. If the PP Madrid lost his reelection project could collapse prematurely

The fate of President begins to play next in the elections of Andalusia week, the most populated region in Spain . A survey of state Sociological Research Centre (CIS) ranks second with 25% PP, 15 points less than it took in 2012. The PSOE maintains the primacy mostly fiefdom.

In this campaign note the fury of PP with Citizens, which leads him to embarrassing situations like that starred this week the central government delegate in Andalusia, Antonio Sanz. He said: “We do not want to govern someone named Albert”. The Catalan nationalists were given a feast.

“People are looking for an option. There is an elector of the PP who wants to change the vote. Citizens seem a logical choice. They are doing well and could also curb the rise Podemos “considers the consultant Narciso Michavila of GAD3, who worked for popular.

The big question, he adds, is whether these new social phenomena get political structures become able to translate a mood public opinion in a drastic transformation of the political system from the post-Franco transition. .