Socialism aspires to maintain power in this region with the advance of emerging forces as can and Citizens. In May there will be elections in the autonomous municipalities.
Andalucía, traditional socialist stronghold in the south of Spain, celebrates regional elections now converted into rehearsal for general year-end, with new games Citizens can and tightening a contest dominated by allegations of corruption. “Although they are two totally different choices, everyone will interpret the results as if they were a first round of general elections,” said Anton Losada, a professor of political science. The May 24 municipal elections in most of the autonomous regions of Spain; in September there will be elections plebiscitary character in Catalonia, and year-end have the general, who will decide who the next president of the Spanish government instead.
All election polls predict that none of formations will get an absolute majority in this great region of southern Spain, where 6.5 million people are called to the polls, so it will be necessary alliances to form a government in Sevilla. Analysts Andalusia, the most populated region of the country as a laboratory for subsequent legislative coalitions in Spain, where the prevailing bipartisanship since 1982 between socialists and conservatives seem to have their days by the emergence of antiliberals can and Citizens centrists.
In the power in Andalusia for 32 years, the Socialist Party (PSOE) expects to maintain its hegemony in the region, the one next to Asturias which currently governs the 17 existing in Spain. Despite corruption scandals exploded in the tourist region particularly affected by the rampant construction, polls will predict a loss of only one or two seats. It would be a major victory for their leader, Susana Diaz, who with 40 years appears as one of the most influential figures of Spanish socialism, generating rumors subsequent application to the central government. Meanwhile, the Popular Party, which governs in Spain Mariano Rajoy with even more force in Andalusia lost in the rest of the country, as voters in this region devastated by unemployment unforgiving austerity imposed by the Conservatives in crisis. Its Andalusian candidate is Juan Manuel Moreno.
Along with the fall of the major parties, the radical left can with your candidate Teresa Rodríguez, after surprising on Europe 2014 1, 2 million votes shortly after birth, rises to third place in the polls with 15 seats. Nationwide, its emergence is stronger and surveys place it as first force.
A fragmented parliament. Led by Pablo Iglesias, a professor of political science 36 years in jeans and hair tied in a ponytail, can and promises to end austerity and corruption of “caste in power” arouse enthusiasm. But his ties with Venezuelan socialism and its alliance with the Greek party SYRIZA, hard to fulfill their promises anti-austerity after coming to power in Athens in January, casting doubts on one part of the electorate eager for change but not at any price. Hence the success of Citizens, which also aims to clean up politics but more moderate postulates arises. “From Citizens want justice, while can want revenge,” said their leader Albert Rivera, 35. Officially born in 2006 as an anti-nationalist Catalan party, Citizens reinvented himself as a national reformist center party that grows exponentially in the polls. Nationally, the Metroscopia institute gave him in March 18.4% of the voting intentions, against 12% in February. In Andalusia, it could reach 10% of the vote and ten seats. “We could have a more pluralistic parliament, where new political forces can enter more strongly to the point of being necessary to rule,” says political scientist Jaime Ferri Dura.
Appetizer. In this perspective, the Andalusian Socialists, theoretical victors in the polls, should be able to choose their allies and stay in office. The prospect worries Ana Mestre, head of list of PP in the province of Cádiz. “In Andalusia we rebuke many that we can not be held by any experiments. There is something very clear: Citizens vote, we or the United Left is to vote the Socialist Party, “he said. But the Andalusian are just the appetizer for a frantic election cycle in Spain culminated in the legislative year end. In May arrive in ten municipal and regional communities, including Madrid and Valencia, and in September in Catalonia, where nationalists want to turn the election into a referendum for independence
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