MADRID (Reuters) – The sovereigntist majority in parliament of Catalonia currently starring CiU and Esquerra would be weakened by the fragmentation of the vote and the strong rise of other political formations, as is apparent from a survey conducted by Feedback and published Sunday in the newspaper La Vanguardia.
According to the poll, elections held today in Catalonia, coalition between CiU and Esquerra not be enough to rule, then they reap 35-36 and 26-27 seats respectively , falls short of the majority of 68 seats in the Catalan parliament.
The loss of votes with respect to the election of 2012 is manifest in almost all traditional parties. So, CiU lose up to 15 of the 50 seats won three years ago, while the Popular Party would leave the road more than half of the seats (19 to 9) and the PSOE would yield seven to eight (from 20 12 or 13).
Meanwhile, groups like Esquerra, who seemed to have picked up strongly outgoing vote of CiU, would rise timidly, five or six seats. The sovereignist option, however, maintains electoral muscle, as the rise of eight seats of CUP to all sovereignists would formations (CiU, ERC and CUP) between 71 and 74 seats.
The main beneficiary of the survey is the group led by Albert Rivera, Citizens, because although after the 2012 elections were made with 9 seats in the Catalan parliament, now occupy 26 seats, competing with Esquerra even Square second political force in the region.
We can, however, seems to have not yet attracted strongly to the Catalan electorate, reaching a modest 6-8 seats, according reads the survey.
The survey, which shows fragmentation of the political spectrum in Catalonia, pose a complicated scenario of majorities, as in negotiating agreements with parties converge sharp ideological differences and identity.
The current president Artur Mas ahead of regional elections planned for 2016 to September 27, and raised as a pulse to see if there was a social majority to move forward with the process of independence.
CITIZENS AND WE, increasingly present
rise of political parties that emerged in the wake of unrest by the crisis and corruption is increasingly evident in surveys in other regions, emphasizing on the other configurations and the Citizens can.
So, polls made by GAD3 published on ABC Sunday hollow predict how both parties will be in the parliaments of Aragon, Extremadura and Castilla La Mancha.
La Mancha Assembly would have for the first time in its history with four political forces, loss scenario favored by 7-8 seats People’s Party (still retain a majority of 17 seats) and the PSOE 14-15 seats, giving way to citizens and can seat 3-5 and 2-3, respectively.
We are showing stronger surveys concerning other regions such as Aragon, giving the anti-austerity party between 10 and 12, very similar expectations that manages Citizens (11-12 seats). These increases also translate into loss of votes for the traditional parties (PP would lose eight to 11 seats and the PSOE, between six and seven).
In Extremadura, and Citizens can also enter part of the regional parliament, with 7-8 and 6 seats respectively, while PP and PSOE would lose between five and six seats, and United Left would be without representation .
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