Saturday, May 23, 2015

Regional will be a test for Spanish parties – El Universal (Venezuela)

Sunday in Spain the closest elections in recent years will be held. National and regional awnings will face in Spanish municipalities and autonomous regions. However, the most striking of these elections is the fight that will star the traditional People’s Party (PP) and the Spanish Socialist Party (PSOE), and newcomers can and Citizens.

The first, with a long history and protagonists two the so-called “bipartisanship”, will seek to prove they are still a reliable alternative and they remain the leaders of the Spanish policy; while the other two awnings, with a short career in politics and debuting in elections of this magnitude, want to expose as a real alternative.

On Sunday will be a “critical test” for Podemos, led by Pablo churches, and citizens, led by Albert Rivera, where there are two things to see: one, if the formation of churches “really peaked a few months ago, and two, if the rise of” Citizens “is so consolidated that might already be on above can, “explains Ignacio Jurado, Doctor of Politics and Economics at Oxford University.

The specialist refers to accelerated momentum it had in the surveys we can during the first months of the campaign, which has been falling in recent days and has shown a slight decline before the match Rivera in the latest polls.

“We are reshaping coming harder, but apparently stagnant for several months and Citizens is in the “boom, says Jury.

For the scientist, the two awnings, in theory, are at a disadvantage in this election to the traditional parties, because” they have a strong infrastructure or regionally, or locally, “so that” if these elections still do well, clearly mean that credible options for the other races. ” “This will be like a test of credibility” for them highlighted.

Measuring disaster

For the PP Spanish Prime Minister, Mariano Rajoy, these elections show how poorly against Spain.

Depending on the results, the popular measure “the magnitude of the disaster have on the table now,” says Jurado, adding that “the PP is clearly in decline Free electorally, but it’s hard to know how much down. “

The specialist said that, normally, in Spain has been a phenomenon known as” hidden vote for the PP, “which occurs when during surveys respondents not show support for the popular, but during the election day end giving them the vote. That is why “the PP usually has done better in the elections in the polls,” he says.

In these elections may be paid if the ruling party “as bad as they say or whether otherwise receiving fruits of Spanish economic “growth, he says.

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