Thus, the PP goes from 32.8% in April to 34.3% (46-47 members) now, in May. The latest barometer of the CIS stood the voting intentions of popular 34.7%. The regional parliament has 129 seats, so the bar is placed an absolute majority of 65 deputies.
In the legislature is now complete, the PP has ruled with an overwhelming absolute majority of 72 seats. Materialize the results predicted this latest study Sigma Dos, the decline that would suffer would be accused of anything more than a third.
Meanwhile, the Socialists of Angel Gabilondo not they are doing exceedingly well . Recede slightly from 20.7% to 20.4% (27 deputies). This means losing a quarter of the seats held today at the Assembly of Madrid (36). The CIS tallied their numbers by 20%.
We can confirm all the opinion polls and enter with force in the regional chamber. It remains in third place, closely watching the Socialists from 19.2% (25-26 seats). It is true that stagnates in the percentage of votes which gave the poll WORLD last April, but is more than two points the fact that given by the CIS.
Citizens, the other party election day revelation, he maintains, according to the survey by Sigma Dos, an upward trend. So, going from 16.6% to 17.6% (23-24 members).
United Left, meanwhile, also fell, from 6.5% to 5.2% (6-7escaños). IU stands for both the brink of extinction in the regional parliament. The minimum registration to enter the regional chamber is marked on the five percent of the vote. UPyD, meanwhile, would get no representation.
A high rate of undecided One of the most notable data from this poll, is the high rate of undecided registered between 1,200 interviewed by telephone last week-from 11 to 14 March-because its amount ranges between 28% and 35%. The Center for Sociological Research, placed the number of people who did not know or did not reply above 32%. In view of the close general data and this percentage as large undecided, the conclusion is that the elections are in the air and the balance might lean toward one side or the other.
When analyze this data matches always try to lend a ember his sardines, implying that much of the hidden vote finally be yours. This practice is especially notable in the two great forces, and that bipartisanship live their lowest points since democracy was restored.
In the PSOE, this time, even admit that much of that percentage would be conservative. Voter believe the PP has more hesitation in saying that he will return to vote on the right, as popular rule and are responsible for the current situation any more than the PSOE.
In connection with the social and economic context prevailing in the region, continues to prevail more negative view on the positive. Thus, 26.6% of respondents understand that the situation is good (23.4%) or very good (3.2%). In contrast, 36.1% maintain that we live in an evil time (22.1%) or very bad (14%). That is, one point less than in April. It is men over 65 years and mainly the Popular Party voters who understand that the situation is going well. At the other end of the scale women between 45 and 64 are located and leftist voters are declared; in his opinion, the situation is very bad.
The overall picture, in short, is a polarized society in which the two main parties, PP and PSOE, lose support but still maintained as the main possible alternatives to lead a government.
The votes that are left along the way we collect them and Citizens, who enter with force in the Assembly of Madrid, to the point of being crucial to setting up a new executive.
Finally, IU remains a tightrope and could lose parliamentary group, although it was not crucial to tip the balance.
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