Sunday, July 3, 2016

Rajoy opens in Spain step – Semana.com

The surprise increase in the conservative vote in elections in Spain Mariano Rajoy puts about to be re-elected. But he will govern in minority, with the sword of Damocles over his head, which would be the worst scenario. Rajoy appealed to fear against the “radical left” United We Can and pushed the vote of those over 60, who remained in power the Popular Party despite its corruption.

“In this Europe older aged decide the future of young people. This happened with the brexit in England and was repeated in Spain. Old defend their pensions, their meager property and privileges, and little care about the younger generation, who suffer the highest unemployment in recent history, “said WEEK political scientist Fernando Garcia.

With only 700,000 votes more than in the previous elections, the PP won 137 seats, additional 14, and is close to govern in minority. The only option to replace Rajoy is an unlikely alliance between the PSOE and the new parties Citizens and United We Can, already failed this year when Pedro Sánchez, of the PSOE, and Albert Rivera, Citizens, signed an agreement and invited Podemos, but its leader Pablo Iglesias refused.

Churches came beaten in these elections. He lost a million votes, despite its alliance with the United Left, with which he hoped to overtake the PSOE and the PP even. “He already looked president, but apparently the Communists of Izquierda Unida did not like the alliance with other voters can and disliked them not to support Sanchez. All this, combined with his ambition took its toll, “he told WEEK analyst Marta Granados, of the Complutense University of Madrid.

But worse he went to Izquierda Unida, which for decades represented the Communists and was the third force with more than 3 million votes before the emergence of new parties. Literally was phagocytosed by Podemos, and not have its own representation in parliament today.

The PSOE withstood the onslaught and, as happened in the last legislature, he has the key to the new government. Only managed 85 seats, the worst result in its history, but the PSOE depends first step continue to govern Rajoy or attempt the difficult triple alliance to force a third election.

The most surprising is that corruption PP Rajoy has not affected. Justice has opened 6,000 investigations against leaders of the PP, the police and showed that this was financed illegally since 1990 and all its structures are invaded corrupt. But his faithful and monolithic vote, inherited from the Franco dictatorship, forgiving.

Nor did it affect the scandal that erupted shortly before the elections when they met recordings where Interior Minister PP, Jorge Fernandez conspired with the anti-fraud prosecutor Catalonia to attack the leaders of the independence parties.

the only thing that has weakened the power of the PP is the emergence of the party Citizens, created by sick conservatives of corruption. Rivera has insisted that only support the PP if you change your dome riddled with corruption, but nevertheless could be key to the investiture of Rajoy as president.

According to the new board, Rajoy could be proclaimed if the PSOE 85 deputies abstained. But even if they refuse, Rajoy could achieve victory in a second chance with the abstention of Citizens and other minor parties. “Albert Rivera will try to keep the spotlight. Citizens today supports the PP governments in several regions, and would not be uncommon to abstain in the second ballot to allow Rajoy a new government, but, yes, with strict control of three strong parties totaling 188 deputies and 13 million of voters, “he told WEEK Madrid political scientist Francisco Avila.

According to analysts, the next term will be a nightmare for Rajoy, it has uninsured four years, and at any moment could be blocked by a motion of censure would force new elections in one or two years. This new mandate is the worst news for more than 15 million voters opponents, tired of corruption and social cuts of the PP. But it is the most feasible to prevent a third elections in the short run and lift blockade in Spain which is output.

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