Mariano Rajoy endorsed the old Chinese proverb advises, “sit at the door of your house and you’ll pass the corpse of your enemy” and bet, though risky, he found
the acting president of the Spanish government, and winner of the elections last June 26 in Spain, all he did was let his two strongest opponents from fighting, Pedro Sanchez , the Spanish Socialist Workers Party (PSOE) and Pablo Iglesias can, emerged from the famous “outraged” that were shattered during campaigns and thus paved the way for the victory of the Popular Party ( . PP)
Two factors were instrumental in this victory: one that the PSOE was in crisis and sharply divided and one that we could not overcome their partisan habits, ie behaved as a group of militants antisistema and not as a real party.
the candidate and leader of the Popular party this week began contacts to form a minority government, it is entirely ruled out the possibility of an alliance with the socialists because of that that “water and oil do not board”.
the old fox Spanish politics met in La Moncloa with the minority Canary Coalition ( CC ), which has a deputy, and then provides an encounter with the Basque nationalist Party ( PNV ) with five.
Although the victory of Rajoy could be read as Pyrrhic, it won 137 seats, below the 176 that were required for an absolute majority that would have allowed him to form an exclusive PP government, most analysts rule out a third election is convened, because as Spanish citizens begin gorging games, juggling and acts of sleight of politicians in your country.
Rajoy is trying to form a strange Frankenstein with bits here and there which includes provincial formations very small and different ideological colors, but has the support of 32 deputies of the centrist party Citizens.
the socialist leader, Pedro Sanchez, second political most votes in the elections with 85 seats, did not share the face the media, but has said becoming worthy to vote against the investiture of Rajoy, missing more.
the “childish” as it is called in Mexico to small parties, is happy in Spain, as the Cinderella that invite for the first time to a dance at the royal palace, because for the first time rubs shoulders with the big leagues of politics in the Iberian Peninsula.
After a first meeting of Rajoy with secretary General of the Canary Coalition, Jose Barragan , he declared that “be easy” to reach an agreement with the PP it is sufficient that the ruling party open the coffers to improve the precarious situation of the islands.
Rajoy perhaps expect to win with a bigger margin but only won 14 seats more than in the elections on June 26, but although the harvest was meager, it is enough to follow the front of the office of La Moncloa.
the Spanish political recio faces the risk that its allies are fighting each other, as for example Citizens is upset because Rajoy wants an understanding with the Basque National Party, since it rejects the need to encourage the prisoners of the armed Basque separatist group ETA .
Rajoy however believes that any alliance is good, even if it comes from organizations of dubious reputation, although not think contact Bildu, heir to Batasuna (ETA’s political wing), which has two seats, but with the Catalan independence of Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya ( ERC ), who got nine deputies.
Rajoy numbers were not bad, but contrast with 2011, when it obtained 44.6% of the vote and won 186 seats, 10 more than needed to form a government (176). Despite this vast electoral support, Rajoy had a lackluster performance, with an economy in a tailspin, rampant unemployment and a public image in tatters, which made all auguraran possible failure.
However analysts did not have his enemies were in worse circumstances which allowed Rajoy take advantage of the weakness of their opponents to let them solitos will pave the way to victory, although precarious, in last December, because only got 28.7% of the vote and won 123 deputies.
Then came the desgastante rejuego to form a government and the impossibility of a consistent alliance after four months of tug of war, king Charles VI decided to dissolve parliament and call new elections.
the pitonisos thought we could unseat the PSOE the second, by allying with Izquierda Unida , but the coalition failed to break the ideological geometry of Spain and to everyone’s surprise Rajoy, mired in corruption within his party and in the institutions that govern again from the ashes and grew support in the polls from 28 to 33%, increasing its harvest of seats from 123 to 137.
the figure may be low for those who see the glass half full but the truth is that it is the only political with recognized leadership in Spain, to be a man of the right.
analysts interpret this shift in the polls as a triumph of “vote of fear” to the radical left, a galvanization of the vote of conservatives who they joined the centrist and a resounding failure of the former “outraged”, who lost a million votes between the previous and the most recent election perhaps because they showed copper to join IU. The future is still uncertain and Rajoy has not assured the possibility of being anointed as president. The PSOE paradoxically is the true balance, but will touch the fate of rocketeer. If it refrains and prevents Rajoy is invested you are going to whistle, but if supported too.
However, like it or not your enemies, Rajoy is today more consistent the leader of the Spanish political scene and that condition is not the be spared or their worst enemies.
the helpful vote
5 percentage points (33%), 14 deputies more ( 137); A total of 7,906,185 votes; almost 700,000 new voters in relation to last December 20
missing the “democratic party”
Ten and a half million Spaniards did not come to the second round tired of the failure of negotiations to form a government for half a year. Nearly one in three Spaniards still not delude itself with the current policy.
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