One possible independence of Catalonia would not benefit anyone, according to US magazine “Forbes”, he sees with “considerable skepticism” the aspiration of the Catalan President, Artur Mas, to create an independent state.
“A breakout potential between Catalonia and Spain does not benefit the United States or Europe, or Spain, or ultimately to Catalonia,” says the magazine of economic information in its issue this week which coincides with a visit to New York Mas to promote their independence plan.
In the article, entitled “Catalonia and the costs of independence”, the specialist in international politics Daniel Runde said that the plan of the Catalan president should “be more than a filler story here in America” .
“At a time when Europe is in the midst of a major political and financial storm, aspiration of President Mas to create an independent Catalan state should be viewed with considerable skepticism.”
According to the author, director of the Project on Prosperity and Development of the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) in Washington, “the reality is that an independent Catalonia would face a difficult divorce from Spain”.
“The economy of Catalonia warns, would suffer a blow. The Catalans have to bear a significant portion of the debt of Spain. This challenge would be further complicated by the need to find a currency other than euro given that Spain would veto the entry of Catalonia in the monetary union. ”
“Just for that reason, he adds, not to mention political instability, is likely to produce an exodus of Spanish multinationals and companies in other regions of Spain”.
He also stresses the article, “an independent Catalonia would, for the same reasons, many hardships to enter NATO.”
Runde believes that “the Catalan leaders, including Mr. Mas, honestly have not submitted these costs to Catalan voters.”
The text points out that “less than a year, and before a similar decision on national independence, 55 per cent of Scots voted against leaving the UK”.
Before the vote, he notes, the US president, Barack Obama, “came out against Scottish independence.”
“Maybe the present government of Catalonia -remarca- use their national debate to win concessions from Madrid, but this is a dangerous game.”
The article admits that Catalonia produces 20 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) in Spain, but says, “is also the most heavily indebted region, and has required several rescues the central government.”
Runde concludes that since “this issue is so unknown” in the US, Artur Mas “get a polite but limited audience” in New York, where “you should ask tough questions about the independence of Catalonia really affect their people and their chances for long-term prosperity. ”
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