ENTORNOINTELIGENTE.COM / Egypt has always been a key to maintaining US hegemony in the Middle East and North Africa but the unexpected victory of Mursi in Egyptian elections of 2012 piece, upset US geopolitical strategy in the Middle East, consisting endemic in Egypt survival of autocratic pro-Western military governments to keep the peace treaty with Egypt, Israel, (according Camp David, 1979), to continue the fight against jihadist militias in Sinai and in particular to ensure US Navy access to the Suez Canal, a key for direct access to the Arabs, Iraq and Afghanistan Emirates shortcut.
Morsi never controlled the levers of power in the country and had only nominal control over the army, security forces or intelligence services of the state, so he negotiated with Al Sisi loyalty of the army to him castled on defense his presidential legitimacy, but the SCAF executed a coup against Morsi virtual hand by not fit its Islamist project in US strategy in the Middle East, blow which had the approval of the US to have left Mursi be a useful pawn to US geopolitical strategy in the Middle East as part of the new US strategy for the area after the apparent failure of the experiment once export of moderate and pro-Western Erdogan all countries Islamist regime that make up the giant chessboard World Arab-Mediterranean.
The emotional detachment from Sisi regarding US
The support of the Egyptian military junta would be crucial to keep the peace treaty with Egypt, Israel, (according Camp David, 1979), to continue the fight against jihadist militias in Sinai and in particular to ensure access to the Suez Canal because Egypt gave the US Navy expeditious passage through the Suez Canal to the dozen warships passing through said channel month. Thus, Israel, Saudi Arabia, Qatar and other Arab allies in the Middle East (with the exception of Erdogan), have pressed Obama and the EU not to condemn the blow against Morsi, opting for an aut ocratic regime as bad lower the threat of Islamism emerged from the polls.
However, after the bloody repression of the Egyptian army against the Muslim Brotherhood, the Obama Administration announced the cancellation of military biennium together with Egypt as leverage to military interim government to stick to the agreement of the democratic transition plan and possible revision military assistance granted to Egypt, estimated at $ 1,500 million annually, causing a western detachment will be used by Putin to regain lost influence in Egypt. Remember that according to Al Tahrir newspaper, General Sisi would have “strong ties with US officials both diplomatically and military, as studied in Washington, attended several military conferences in the city and participated in joint war exercises and operations intelligence in recent years “, but measures of pressure from the Obama administration provoked emotional detachment from al-Sisi after Obama criticized that” you. forsook Egypt, you. turned his back to the Egyptians and they will not forget “.
Putin’s new strategy in the Middle East
The new Russian geopolitics in the Middle East was captured in the strong support to the Syrian regime of Al-Assad and Iran in order to establish its position as an indispensable partner in the search for a global agreement for the whole East PROME. So, knowing that he played lead to the inability of the US and its European allies to mark the initiative in conflicts in the Middle East and East (Egypt, Syria, Palestine and Iran), Putin took the great opportunity that was presented to restore international influence that Russia had lost in recent years by master stroke to convince Assad to hand over its arsenal of chemical weapons and limited international support for Obama to launch military operation against Syria.
Thus, the withdrawal of US aircraft carrier USS Nimitz and the USS Graveley Mediterranean after canceling “in extemis” Obama’s attack against Syria (Operation Free Syria) was used by Putin to strengthen its fleet in the Mediterranean with 18 warships as according to Itar Tass, Russia will strengthen its naval base in the Syrian port of Tartus in order to revive the defunct Mediterranean Fleet, (dissolved in 1992 after the extinction of the USSR), whose backbone will consist Sea Fleet Black, the North and Baltic (with the Varyag as flagship) and could be operational in 2015, but the instability of the Syrian conflict, force Russia to seek a new alternative to its naval base on Egyptian soil, (Damietta or Port Said).
Putin would therefore focused its strategy towards the Arab world of the Mediterranean arc, revitalizing the doctrine of anticolonial pathos, based aid to Arab nationalist regimes in their struggle against Western influence and will have its translation into renewed economic cooperation projects and intense military cooperati on, which together with the apparent emotional detachment from the Egyptian General Sisi compared to Western countries, the appellant endemism the failure of successive rounds of Palestinian-Israeli peace and the delicate economic situation is Egypt ( poor de jure and de facto subsidized) country, cause a narrowing of Russian-Egyptian relations would mean a total change in the complicated geopolitical puzzle of the Middle East.
Transcendental Putin’s visit to Egypt
Egypt would be burdened by excessive energy deficit and high rates of cereal imports in a society steeped in the culture of subsidy (about 30% of the country’s budget is allocated to grants) country, so that in the new scenario you draw, the needs of grain and Technology of Egypt could be met exclusively by Russia. Thus, during the term of Mursi, Egypt requested technical assistance from Russia to build nuclear power Dabaa near the Mediterranean coast and develop the experimental nuclea r reactor Inshas, on the outskirts of Cairo, and the necessary technology to exploit uranium mines in the country, located between the Nile and the Red Sea coast, since Russia through companies Lukoil and Avatec already have a significant presence in the oil fields and Egyptian gas will be increased after the current visit Putin to Egypt.
Thus, assuming that the control of the Suez Canal passed to Russian hands, the geopolitics of the US in Middle East (Oriente PROME) would remain fully mortgaged and a total geopolitical change in the complicated puzzle of the Middle East, from Russia to be a reference element and strategic partner of Egypt and turning Egypt in the continental aircraft carrier from Russia, (recalling the policy of Khrushchev when Egypt was the main partner of the USSR in the region and its President Nasser was awarded the Star of Hero the Soviet Union).
Al Sisi, will the new Nasser?
Al-Sisi was in favor of restoring the traditio nal status of the army in the socio-political life in Egypt and after being elected President of Egypt in 2014, have established a presidential regime with clear autocratic dyes which together with the increasing detachment of elites Egyptian military on Western countries and the poor economic situation is Egypt (impoverished country de jure and de facto subsidized), could make Sisi hoisted the banner of a new pan-Arab Nasserite movement affiliation after extending his mimetic effect other Arab Mediterranean countries (Tunisia, Libya, Syria, Lebanon addition to Jordan and Iraq) could end up reissue the Six-Day War on the horizon of the next five years confrontation that will be used by the US, Britain and Israel proceed to redesign mapping disjointed puzzle consisting of those countries and thus achieve a strategically advantageous borders for Israel (Eretz Israel) following the plan orchestrated 60 years jointly by the governments of Britain, the United States and Israel wh ich would have Backed by major Western allies (Greater Israel).
Remember that the project of Greater Israel (Eretz Israel), son of the Bible would atavism and drink sources Genesis 15:18, which states that “4,000 years ago, the title to all the land between the Nile River Egypt and the Euphrates River was bequeathed to the Hebrew patriarch Abraham and later trasferida their descendants “, which would mean the restoration of the Balfour Declaration (1917), which drew a State of Israel endowed with vast territories extension to 46,000 square miles that stretched from the Mediterranean to the Euphrates covering Syria, Lebanon, noriental part of Iraq, northern Saudi Arabia, the coastline of the Red Sea and the Sinai Peninsula in Egypt and Jordan, which would be renamed after being Palesjordán required to accommodate the entire Palestinian population of the West Bank and forced Gaza today a massive diaspora (new nakba).
GERMÁN GORRAIZ LÓPEZ -Analyst
With Information ENTORNOINTELIGENTE.COM
www.entornointeligente.com
See also www.mundinews.com | www.eldiscoduro.com | www.tipsfemeninos.com | www.economia-venezuela.com | www.politica-venezuela.com | www.enlasgradas.com | www.cualquiervaina.com | www.espiasdecocina.com | www.videojuegosmania.com
Follow us on Twitterentornoi
No comments:
Post a Comment