Sunday, September 25, 2016

The regional elections decide the political future of Spain – The Telegraph

The tangle of endless the formation of a government of Spain could have its days numbered. Above all, if one of the two political parties that aspire to govern, the PP and the PSOE, it fails in the many important regional elections held this Sunday in Galicia and the Basque country. Both elections have acquired a character so decisive in the impending contacts that prepare the forces of parliamentary to put together an executive solid after nine months of vacuum until the conservative prime minister, Mariano Rajoy, and the socialist Pedro Sanchez, the two candidates irreconcilable, they decided to remove all his heavy artillery from Madrid to continue with their exchange of blows in these two regions of the north of Spain. Never happened before, something similar.

If forecasts trends and public opinion hit, which is very unlikely in view of the recent election results in Spain, the two major parties will suffer significant setbacks in both territories.

In Galicia, where the PP governed with an absolute majority since 8 years ago, the triumph of conservative is not in danger although no-one dares to predict whether this time it will do so with the firmness of the quotes above. The innovative element is the presence for the first time in a few elections regional United we Can, as and how you are doing in the Spanish scene, will stand in the fight system that has always characterized the policy of galicia. The formation of Pablo Iglesias account here with a component favorable as was his quiet confluence with corrientes local in favour of a change under the name of "Tide" and that in other Spanish provinces has impaired his powerful thrust. The surveys were placed at the height of the PSOE in voting intentions even if nothing will serve a likely pact between the two formations if the PP repeated its comfortable majority.

otherwise, Mariano Rajoy, as you’ll see, has lost one of its strongholds, preferred the country, and with it, a good part of their desire to retry in October, an assault on the presidency of the government.

This panorama galician has little or nothing to do with the that is drawn 350 kilometres to the east of the iberian peninsula. The basque country is a territory forbidden for the PP. Its electoral results have always been mediocre, maybe due to its void management rooted feeling that exists in this community for one’s own identity. As in Catalonia but with some significant differences. The most important is that it will be here where Pedro Sanchez may be playing his survival to the front of the PSOE.

in The shelter of the formidable iron and steel industry that flourished in the middle of the last century, socialism Spanish chiseled here’s an awesome support platform proletarian. Hundreds of hands arrivals from Extremadura, Andalusia or Murcia became the PSOE in a retaining wall in front of the national aspirations of creating a State of their own. Even in the face of the violence of ETA. But all this has changed. The debate atavistic of the basques between independence and Spain appears to be exhausted.

And this scene has appeared a formation as Elkarrekin we Can (EP), which exists in the Basque country with a speech so vigorous that even the tomb of the dynamic election are descolocados to the possibility that even the transfer of votes between the nationalist forces and national that always occurs in function of the territorial scope of the elections will be this time able to slow down.

The basque community lives today, engaged in a transformation of concepts that do not exist in the rest of Spain, with the exception, perhaps, of Catalonia. The antagonism of identity classic of the basques, which faced the nationalist and constitutionalist Spanish for the sceptre political, and that so much blood shed, it has been diluted in favour of a bid between the recognition of the plurinational of Spain against the pro-independence, and between an axis very sharp for the defense of a balance of collective good and the individual good. And here is where the PP and the PSOE have been descolocados. Conservatives live sitting on a powder keg of internal disputes about the end of ETA and statements odd about immigrants waving negatively to all the training. The socialists, almost always seconds after the conservative nationalists of the PNV, nor have known how to adapt.

Until a few years ago, 60% of the basque population, which recognized a socialist or a social democrat had no doubt that his vote was for the PSOE. Studies carried out after the launching vigorous We have detected that the formation of Pablo Iglesias has taken away two-thirds of that electorate. And if the socialists suffer the debacle that all the polls predict, the future of Pedro Sánchez will be at the edge of the cliff, without any possibility of winning the federal Committee of urgency in that it intends to liquidate the incendiary opposition that you have within your party.

Against this background it can be understood that the two major candidates for the presidency of the government of Spain to deal with the elections, basque and galician, with the same fear that in the Netherlands led to the thirds of Flanders. the (I)

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