The traditional parties of Spain can and will overwrite Citizens – San Rafael Journal

The bipartisanship, represented by PP and PSOE, begins to detach from the two serious opponents who stormed the political scene earlier this year, with the guts to challenge the hegemony. This is the aim of socialist and popular in this month of July, according to the study Metroscopia, get five points behind leave can match seven to Albert Rivera. Rejecting we share with the United Left coalition has not benefited the match Pablo Iglesias, but has given a respite to the force that represents Alberto Garzón, up to one and a half.

The quadripartite which loomed in the spring loses strength to begin to take shape PP and PSOE in the lead, stepping on heels, citizens can and at a distance behind increasingly find it more difficult to shrink. Although socialist and popular may have reason to experience some satisfaction, the situation is far from resembling what we both were in the immediate past. Especially the PP, which won elections in 2011 with 44.6% of the vote and now Metroscopia study, conducted between 20 and 22 July, gives estimated 23.1% in voting. PSOE margins are meager because in those elections won 28.7% support and is now at 23.5%; one point more than the allocated less than a month and few tenths ahead of the current ruling party. Neither get closer to 30% so that, if the political feel citizen does not change radically, the most voted will need a considerable amount of support to form a stable majority.

Reasons for concern are all. The other political actors that determine the formation of the next government struggle, in turn, to seize third place, in principle, can holds a certain advantage. It is not the goal of Pablo Iglesias match play there because his claims are to overcome the PSOE as a party of the left and, in parallel, rise as a real alternative to the PP. The leader can usually direct, face to face Mariano Rajoy, Prime Minister of Spain, bypassing Pedro Sanchez, general secretary of the PSOE, to assume that the options are PP or can.

That could be until the month of April, but the PSOE spring rally began while we kept the slow but inexorable decline. In less than a month has lost more than three points.

At the time of the study he had already sparked fierce controversy by categorical refusal Pablo Iglesias to share electoral candidacy with a group of forces including Izquierda Unida stands. That attitude of disdain, with some kind words for IU, provoked the reaction of intellectuals and personalities from the world of art and culture calling unit projects and platforms on the left, as if it has forged with the acquiescence of Catalonia Can We. United Left, this involuntary struggle, has obtained an improvement in his vow estimated one and a half. In the discussion for the unity of the left it is excluded PSOE this study puts him as the winner of the elections, without cover or a quarter of the electoral cake.