Spain shows a preference for traditional bipartisanship before elections – El Universal (Venezuela)

Madrid .- If the general elections in Spain they occurred now, the result it seems most likely be a double tie: in head would be practically matched the Spanish Socialist Workers Party (PSOE) and the Popular Party (PP), with a 23.5% and 23.1%, respectively.

At some distance, we would stand and Citizens, separated by a colon (18.1% and 16.0%). United Left (IU) completed the quintet of national parties with 5.6% of the vote. For now, this training seems able to recover voters who lose , reported the Spanish newspaper El País.

Since the results were given local and regional elections in Spain, the old two-party (PP and PSOE) launched a sustained rally away from the emerging parties (We can and Citizens). In the last Metroscopia study, conducted between 20 and 22 July, PSOE and PP have achieved detach and put some distance with the two new parties.

In this movement the electorate stands some recovery in IU which recovers more than one and a half, which is transfused him and we surely abstention. The overwhelming rejection of the secretary general of Podemos, Pablo Iglesias, to form an electoral coalition with IU and other forces of the left – except when Catalonia – has been answered disapproval of part of the electorate that opting for an coalition and not of several candidates to the left of the PSOE.

The PSOE, meanwhile, maintains a continuous stability in their support that makes you mingle with the PP first position, once achieved we can get more than five points ahead. Now, the PSOE obtained an advantage of tenths to the Conservative Party so that either could end up in head when general elections are held.

From the summit the party of Albert away Rivera gets a point if less than a month after being punished immediately after the municipal and regional elections of May 24. We can and Citizens in principle away from the first position and passed to compete for the third place.

PSOE and PP, which by permanent fluctuations in their respective supports Similar in size, alternate month to month at the head of the table, follow agavillando together almost 50% of all votes, a figure certainly far totaling 73.3% in 2011, but that seems to tend to stabilize and that, in any case far exceeds the joint vote of the two emerging parties (34.1% now). We would look like and be on their way to a corrected upward “imperfect bipartisanship” in the early years of democracy current version; or, if preferred, to an attenuated cuatripartidismo newly minted.

We can only close this course on bad note. Your current 18.1% still represents a substantial amount, but it is 3.4 points lower than the vote that he estimated less than a month ago (and is 10.1 points lower than it has been until now his best figure: 28.2% last January) . Your image may have lost some of its original freshness. Their leader, Pablo Iglesias, still, after Rajoy, the worst evaluated by citizens (its commitment to “a rough and class discourse and a commoner style” does not help to generate cross sympathies precisely at a time in that one of the principal demands is the spirit of harmony) and followed reproaching programmatic vagueness.