a week Ago Mariano Rajoy finally managed to be sworn in president of the government for the second time, after a political blockage in the parliament, which required two general elections on the 20th of December 2015 and the other on the 26th of June this year.
For ten months of the spaniards voted twice and formed two parliaments are different. On both occasions, the Popular Party (PP) led by Rajoy, was the most voted. Despite this, the leader of the PP, it never managed to gather the necessary support to form a government. Despite the fact that from various sectors were asked to give a step to the side, he appealed to the patience and waited for the thread to be cut off where it is thinnest. Finally that occurred when the deep crisis that engulfed the Spanish Socialist workers Party (Psoe) led to a parliamentary session where he was the abstention of lawmakers socialist that allowed the PP to form a government, although a clear minority. Rajoy showed strength individual, but created a weak government since its birth.
locking
The political paralysis that prevented Spain define his government after two elections in six months, so-called "political blockage" was in fact the search of the weakest link of a chain composed by the two traditional political parties -Psoe and PP – and the two emerging forces: Citizens, of liberal orientation, and States-we Can, of left. In other words, the Spanish policy was pulling for nearly a year to see where they broke that chain, whose distinctive feature is that the two-party system prevailing since the return to democracy, seems to be racing to its end.
After the elections of 20 December, the weakest link seemed to be the socialist leader Pedro Sanchez, questioned internally after the worst result of the history of his party. After the elections of the 26 of June, the weak link seemed to be the leader of Citizens, Albert Rivera, subjected to an enormous pressure to accept the role of ally and supporter of the PP.
united States-we Can, seek to avoid this weakness by bringing together the two left forces in the ascendancy, with the aim of forcing the Psoe to negotiate with them. However, they did not succeed.
For many, the weakest link was always the own Rajoy. In reality, the fact that I had opened up the political game and would have concluded with the lock, it would have been the step on the side of Rajoy. His greatest political success and the greatest example of his ability over those ten months, was to ensure that the Spanish did not perceive that.
the leader of The PP remained unshakable, barely sustained by the votes of the spaniards, who, although they never gave him and his party the necessary support to form a government by itself, put the front in two close election. From there, the man, appeal to his greater strength, the patience.
The weakest link
The secretary general of the Psoe, Pedro Sánchez, decided after two elections where his party reached a second place that reflected a permanent drain of votes, not to negotiate with Rajoy, hoping that the candidate of the PP will crash against the most useless of the barriers that we can conceive of a policy, the "no is no". Because in politics, no is never no, except when the person who holds it wants to get in a cul-de-sac. In any aspect of life it is appropriate to say "from this water I will not drink", because it may happen that at some point you have to face the dilemma of whether to drink it or die of thirst. In politics, the "not" smart ” is not the intransigence, but that opens the door to negotiation. Because in its essence, politics is an art practiced by negotiators.
The secretary general of the Psoe and its executive committee opted to close down all the exits, were called to silence and did not seek never negotiate "no." The final destination of this journey had been coming to a third election where the Psoe could have faced a catastrophe. The Psoe will goes wrong since 2011, when it lost 4.3 million votes. He deepened their fall in 2015, with the defection of another 2.5 million voters and has continued to fall in June 2016.
given these perspectives, a part of the members of the executive committee of the party he resigned in order to provoke the fall of Pedro Sanchez. This "animal farm" that produced your output of the driving was what enabled the abstention of the parliamentary socialists that have enabled the formation of the minority government of the PP.
what Ended the political crisis?
Certainly not. This solidarity forced between the PSOE and the PP could injure of death to bipartisanship Spanish. With their abstention, the PSOE made possible the formation of a new government, but did so only to escape forward of its own crisis of legitimacy. Bought time at a very high cost, and nothing more.
The PP got what they wanted -the government – but at what cost? The weakness of the. By not having a majority in the parliament -even through their occasional partnership with Citizens – the Rajoy government is facing a process where each measurement should be negotiated, where you should always assume the costs, where their opponents will always be more profitable to say no. Because Rajoy will deepen the adjustment in Spain, the only way he knows to get out of the economic and social crisis gripping the country, an adjustment claimed by the partners of the European Union, and you will not have enough legitimacy own to carry out. The weakness of parliamentary will be plain and simple, a reflection of the weakness of the government in the street.
Some analysts already speculate that it will be a government short-and predict that will not survive a legislature in which all groups compete to see who votes more against it.
The destination of the PSOE and the PP could emulate the parties Colorado and Blanco in Uruguay. Former rivals, had to join up to try to break the Broad Front. At first I managed, for more than fifteen years.
those Who are more comfortable appear in this scenario, are the members of the united States-we Can. They claim that the PP and the PSOE walked hand in hand for that Rajoy is sworn in as president, and as a result, the coalition States-we Can appear as the "alternative" in Spain to "build a fairer country that do not load the output of the crisis onto the shoulders of workers". The problem is that many Spanish people still distrust them and their constant attitude of defiance to the political system.
Mariano Rajoy had a strong showing during the political blockage, but your government is weak from its birth. That weakness will be the one that possibly reveals the futility of the effort to cover up the shortcomings of a system of traditional political parties that seems to have been exhausted.
In the midst of these bids and electoral reacomodamientos politicians, are the spaniards, through high rates of unemployment and distrusting more and more of their political leadership which identifies itself as a group of subjects only concerned about themselves.
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