Madrid.- In the coming months, Spain will live four major electoral events (including general elections later this year). The first one, the regional Andalusia, will take place today. What is surprising is that for the first time in the history of Spanish democracy, polls predict that in all these elections in order and the emergence of bipartisanship, hard, two new formations occur: We can and Citizens.
A severe economic crisis, almost six million people out of work and numerous cases of corruption in the two major parties: the ruling Popular Party (PP) and the opposition Spanish Socialist Workers Party (PSOE) explain this electoral twist.
People are tired of PP by the numerous cases of corruption in their ranks. But also by the austerity policies carried out President Mariano Rajoy (PP) with cuts in health and education, tax increases and decreases in wages. Nor trust a sunken PSOE, immersed in infighting, without a clear electoral program and a new leader, Pedro Sanchez, who finished not convince either voters or to his party colleagues.
Against this background, it is expected that many will opt for the new party can, which comes with a simple and direct speech against politicians, whom they call “caste”, and for citizens, or citizens, a formation created by a residents group of Catalonia (northeastern Spain), defined as center and in recent months have made remarkable ascent.
According to the polls, in Andalusia, where they are invited to vote 6.5 million voters, now win the PSOE, which has ruled uninterrupted 33 years this region. As not agree is the number of seats they lost the PP, PSOE and United Left (Communists and Republicans, IU) for Citizens can and games. The reason is that many undecided: 4 out of 10.
Whatever the outcome, it will be the prelude to what might happen in the general elections scheduled for November.
In other words, today we will know if the Spanish voter anger with their traditional political parties is such that “dares” to vote for new formations as happened in January in Greece, where citizens, fed up with hard cuts imposed from Brussels They voted for the leftist coalition Syriza was the only growth defending against the austerity imposed by German Chancellor Angela Merkel and if successful the strategy of fear of the unknown, especially to can, launched by the PP.
Located in southern Spain, Andalusia is the largest but also the poorest community and having more unemployment. According to surveys, Susana Diaz, current president of the Board and who is seeking reelection and is the socialist hope many will win although the party would lose two seats (from 47-45) and would not achieve an absolute majority, so it will be forced to agree to form a government. She, who despite being pregnant has not stopped touring the community rally rally has already predicted that no pact or the PP nor can, so I would only have UI and Citizens.
Again according to the polls, the PP will be given a bump to lose up to 20 seats (out of 50 will go to 29). In an attempt to avoid it, Mariano Rajoy has been in recent days present in this region in recent years accompanying his candidate, Juan Manuel Moreno, unknown to many Andalusians.
IU also lose seats from 12 to 8, according to forecasts.
We are presented with a young and charismatic but inexperienced Teresa Rodriguez at the helm. Has going for strength and against the inexperience and lack of support from the leadership of the party, whose leader, Churches Rodriguez dared to rebuke in his day. The general direction is “revenge” abandoning the party in Andalusia and leaving them to those who develop the program and the electoral lists.
According to surveys, we, that in four month campaign managed five MEPs in the European Parliament elections of 2014, you will get 15 seats. It is anticipated that the other big winner of the day will be Citizens, who thus premiered in the Andalusian Parliament with about 12 seats.
March of Dignity
For now, a sign of anger against the Spanish government settings gave yesterday when thousands of people demonstrated in the “March for Dignity”. The attendees, hundreds of thousands, as organizers, and even 12,000, according to police, demanded “bread, work, shelter and dignity.” With information from EFE
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