January 11, 2015, 5:18
Madrid, Jan 11 (PL) The Spanish bipartisanship retreats and new trends, led by can, today placed the national policy to a different stage still poorly defined alliances and negotiations.
The fall of the dominant Spanish Socialist Workers party (PSOE) and Popular (PP) and the boom can, with a similar program of the traditional left, do unthinkable today bring in new hegemonic Parliament elections as the present.
The absolute majority of the PP obtained in 2011 is practically impossible to repeat in the general elections to be carried out later this year, but there is not a force capable of forming by itself a stable government.
According to the last survey in January by Metroscopia, the party that leads the voting intention is can, but with only 28.2 percent, a figure that would make a government of a single color difficult.
Behind leave the PSOE with 23.5 percent, the PP with 19.2 percent, 8.1 percent Citizens, United Left (IU) with 5.3 percent and Union Progreso y Democracia, center right, with 5.0 per percent.
The first and simplest conclusion polls, which follow more or less the same trend Metroscopia is that bipartism PP-PSOE is touched death and the second that whoever the winner shall become a skilled negotiator.
Both PSOE and PP discarded a great alliance between right and social democrats as in other European countries, although IU announced that this would be the inevitable passage of the monarchist parties to close the way to the left and Republicans.
Despite many common ground in their programs, the option can not seem affordable for and IU, given the perspective of first reaching a decisive majority suspicion of the traditional left on the ideology of newcomers.
Other variants like to repeat the experience of Andalusia where the PSOE governs in partnership with IU does have force, although everything seems possible today in Spain where policy is shown extremely changeable.
The last survey Metroscopia is an example of this, with the arrival on the national policy of Citizens, a party of Catalan origin that only two months ago declared his intention to go to the general as a national force.
It is symptomatic that game, autodefinido center-left, won 50 percent of voters backed the right-wing PP and other abstainers and new voters, according to researchers .
When even the date of the general election is not defined, are other unknowns like the position of Citizens holds, if we (with only one year created) can grow if the PSOE and the PP will continue its descent or IU can improve your position.
Most likely, whether that be the answer to the previous variants, is that the next Spanish parliament will be very varied in terms of political groups.
Given the difficulty of achieving structural alliances, the leader of the PSOE, Pedro Sanchez, says that in Spain can be governed in a minority and this has been done, with specific agreements with other forces in overlapping ways.
In practice, however, this option seems much more complex than in theory, but not impossible.
So far, the results of previous elections and the European Parliament in May 2014 and surveys make clear that the Spanish policy is no longer as it was just a year ago and bipartisanship giving way more and more.
The crisis, which he blames the PP and the PSOE and the emergence new figures and games make the prospect of another Spain will begin to emerge in municipal and regional elections in May and acquire definitively with the general in late 2015
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