Friday, October 3, 2014

ERC ahead of CiU with 6.7 points in voting intentions, according to … – The País.com (Spain)

ERC ahead of CiU with 6.7 points in voting intentions, according to … – The País.com (Spain)

The Chamber in the last general policy debate. / ALBERT GARCIA

Republican Left would Now the force with greater intention to vote in the regional elections in Catalonia to collect 19.8% of the vote compared to 13.1 for those who reap Convergence and Union. The independence party exceed by both convergent by 6.7 percentage points in voting intentions, according to a survey this morning the Center for Opinion Studies of Catalonia (CEO), which also indicates a 23% undecided voters. In the elections of 2012, CiU to ERC exceeded 11.3% of votes (20.5 to 9.20). The study was conducted based on the last General Policy Debate, held last September in which the Parliament adopted the Law on Consultation and signaled to 9-N. Although it does not contain the results of any consultation questions, advances that 70% of respondents are in favor of celebrating.

The survey, conducted on a universe of 800 people and with a margin of error 3.45%, confirms the trend already detected in European elections last May 25 when Vella defeated Convergència producing sorpasso. The independence gathered 23.67% of the vote and the convergent 21.86%. The difference in vote was 50,000. The barometer CEO last April and threw the rampant rise ERC and predicted almost a tie between the two formations. The survey also predicts the precipitous fall of the PP (from 8.7% to 2.1%) and PSC (5.8% vs. 9.6). We may have been included in the survey and overtake other forces represented in parliament. “What is depicted is a fragmented scenario,” said Jordi Argelaguet, director of the CEO. The results are not cooked and reflect the trend of voting, including the undecided.

With a marked downward trend, the electorate strongly penalize CiU by Pujol family scandal. The converged management knows he would lose the election if Mas forward to supplant the consultation and therefore attempted, so far unsuccessfully, to form a joint bid with Republicans. Respondents clearly show that Oriol Junqueras is now his favorite with 5.75 points compared to 5.4 mas leader who, however, respondents give the winner of the debate. The three leaders of the opposing parties to the consultation suspended.

The survey reveals that the majority of citizens are in favor of the query to 70.8% compared to 22.9 percent who are against. 6% did not answer. The results are identical to this one year chapter. Only PP voters are radically opposed to 9-N and the results reflect the fracture PSC: 56.5% in favor and 41.3 is against. 28% of voters also favored Ciutadans.

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